Modern technologies shaping the development of the armed forces and their operational engagement until 2039
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Biuro Bezpieczeństwa Narodowego, Warszawa, Polska
Publication date: 2023-08-10
Bezpieczeństwo Narodowe 2023;42(1):165-192
In the first quarter of 2023, in accordance with the “Methodology of planning and programming the development of the Polish Armed Forces”, the “Main directions of development of the Polish Armed Forces and their preparations for state defense for the years 2025–2039” should be implemented. The key document for defense programming will direct the entire process of planning and programming the development of the Polish Armed Forces, including their technical modernization, for the next fifteen years. This analytical and planning project will be one of the key projects implemented this year in the field of state defense, not only for the Ministry of National Defense, including the General Staff of the Polish Armed Forces, but also for the National Security Bureau. It can be assumed that, to a large extent, its content will be shaped by the experiences resulting from the involvement of the Polish Army so far, among others in counteracting the COVID-19 pandemic and operations to prevent hybrid attacks on the Polish-Belarusian border, as well as recommendations from the ongoing war in Ukraine. While indicating development priorities for the armed forces, planners must not forget that the long-term design horizon adopted by this document will force them to “cut away” from the present and look far into the future so that they can determine the key capabilities that the military forces should have in 2039. In this context, when talking about the main directions of development of the armed forces, it is impossible not to look at technological innovations, which today, although at an early stage of their development, have the potential to determine the functioning and operations of the armed forces in the future.
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